IDEN

Anomaly Radar

Which series made the most unusual move at their latest reading, measured against their own recent history. A ranking of statistics, not a risk score; nothing here says why it moved.

This series has too little daily history (or is stale) to be measured.

18 series · Daily marketsMacro prints · Rank by latest movelevel extreme · Data ↓

SeriesClassMovez1Y pctlAs of
SRBI 9M bid-to-cover Rates+28.71+4.5σ 1002026-09-25
SRBI 9M incoming bids Rates+4.31+4.2σ 1002026-09-25
SRBI 6M incoming bids Rates+6.58+2.0σ 792026-09-25
SUN auction bid-to-cover Rates−0.55−1.6σ 752026-09-01
SRBI 12M incoming bids Rates+22.71+1.3σ 942026-09-25
SUN auction incoming bids Rates−18.79−1.2σ 582026-09-01
SRBI 12M awarded yield (w.avg) Rates−18 bp−1.2σ 402026-09-25
SRBI 6M bid-to-cover Rates−14.47−1.2σ 882026-09-25
US 30Y mortgage rate Rates+8 bp+1.1σ 1002026-09-24
SRBI 6M awarded yield (w.avg) Rates−15 bp−1.1σ 432026-09-25
SRBI 9M awarded yield (w.avg) Rates−11 bp−0.8σ 432026-09-25
Real SRBI 12M (SRBI - CPI) Rates−18 bp−0.5σ 312026-09-25
SBSN auction awarded Rates−1.00−0.3σ 382026-09-22
SBSN auction bid-to-cover Rates+0.27+0.3σ 622026-09-22
SBSN auction incoming bids Rates+0.76+0.1σ 502026-09-22
SRBI 12M bid-to-cover Rates+0.66+0.1σ 822026-09-25
SUN auction awarded Rates0.000.0σ 332026-09-01
BI-Rate Rates0 bp0.0σ 702026-09-23
Method
  • Move: latest reading against the one before: % for prices, bp for rates, units otherwise.
  • z: the move divided by the standard deviation of the previous 252 one-reading moves (daily series) or 36 print-to-print changes (macro prints). 2σ is a move seen roughly once in 20 readings if moves were normally distributed; markets have fatter tails, so read it as a ranking.
  • z 5 readings: the change over the last 5 readings against earlier 5-reading changes that do not overlap the latest.
  • 1Y percentile: where the latest level sits among the last 252 levels (0 lowest, 100 highest). "Level extreme" ranks by distance from 50.
  • Included: daily series with at least 60 moves from readings at most 5 days apart (older weekly history is not used), and macro series with at least 8 earlier changes. Left out now: 276 with too little history, 168 daily series more than 10 days behind the newest market date (2026-10-16).