IDEN

Relationship Lab

How a series has moved with others: the correlation of daily changes (% for prices, bp for rates) over 1 and 3 years, the beta, a rolling correlation and whether one tends to move first. Correlation is not causation, and it changes over time.

Supermicro (SMCI) against…

Series1M ↓3M1Yn 1Y3Y3M − 3YBeta 1Y
Digital Realty (DLR)
DLR
0.770.32 0.372500.36 −0.04 1.27scatter
UST 10YR
ust10y
−0.76−0.28 −0.27238−0.11 −0.17 −0.38scatter
Eaton (ETN)
ETN
0.760.50 0.452500.42 +0.08 1.07scatter
S&P 500
spx
0.730.52 0.532380.46 +0.06 3.84scatter
Arista (ANET)
ANET
0.710.52 0.352500.31 +0.21 0.59scatter
Copper
copper
0.700.31 0.212380.16 +0.15 0.72scatter
Constellation (CEG)
CEG
0.680.48 0.352500.33 +0.15 0.69scatter
Nasdaq 100
ndx
0.670.58 0.542380.49 +0.09 2.56scatter
UST 2YR
ust2y
−0.65−0.20 −0.182380.00 −0.20 ⇄ −0.23scatter
Dell (DELL)
DELL
0.600.69 0.512500.44 +0.25 0.62scatter
Coherent (COHR)
COHR
0.570.53 0.402500.42 +0.11 0.43scatter
PHLX Semiconductor (SOX)
sox
0.570.65 0.532380.52 +0.13 1.10scatter
Brent
brent
−0.49−0.20 −0.162380.04 −0.25 ⇄ −0.27scatter
Ciena (CIEN)
CIEN
0.430.58 0.392500.28 +0.30 0.50scatter
Gold
gold
0.430.27 0.182380.15 +0.12 0.57scatter
CoreWeave (CRWV)
CRWV
0.410.63 0.402500.34 +0.29 0.39scatter
LQ45
lq45
0.390.23 −0.072200.12 +0.11 −0.24scatter
USD/IDR
usdidr
−0.380.03 0.09238−0.07 +0.09 ⇄ 1.06scatter
DXY
dxy
−0.25−0.10 −0.17238−0.08 −0.02 −3.04scatter
Bitcoin
btc
0.220.03 0.212390.17 −0.13 0.44scatter
JCI (IHSG)
jci
0.200.34 −0.042200.12 +0.22 −0.12scatter
INDOGB 10YR
id10y
−0.010.11 0.01213−0.04 +0.15 ⇄ 0.01scatter
Newcastle coal
coal
–– –0– – –scatter

Compared with the headline cross-asset series and the series in the same catalog category and country. Changes are matched on common dates. Beta = change in Supermicro (SMCI) per unit change in the other series (least squares, 1 year). Amber: fewer than 20 common changes (hover a value for its n). Stability: the 3-month correlation minus the 3-year one; ⇄ marks opposite signs. A change in correlation describes the past; it does not say the relationship has broken or will return. Data ↓

Supermicro (SMCI) · Digital Realty (DLR)
2060120252
0.200.400.60Dec 24Mar 25Jun 25Sep 25Dec 25Mar 26Jun 26Sep 2660-reading corre 0.35

Rolling correlation of daily changes over the last 60 common readings, last 3 years.

Who moves first? (1 year)

Lag (readings)-10-9-8-7-6-5-4-3-2-1+0+1+2+3+4+5+6+7+8+9+10
correlation0.04−0.03−0.040.06−0.020.020.05−0.050.09−0.070.37−0.100.100.04−0.03−0.05−0.01−0.250.060.010.06

Lag +k: today's change in Supermicro (SMCI) against the change in Digital Realty (DLR) k readings later (positive = the first one leads). A peak away from 0 is a description of the past year only.