IDEN

Relationship Lab

How a series has moved with others: the correlation of daily changes (% for prices, bp for rates) over 1 and 3 years, the beta, a rolling correlation and whether one tends to move first. Correlation is not causation, and it changes over time.

KraneShares China Internet (KWEB) against…

Series1M ↓3M1Yn 1Y3Y3M − 3YBeta 1Y
Bitcoin
btc
0.740.11 0.232390.13 −0.01 0.14scatter
PHLX Semiconductor (SOX)
sox
0.69−0.08 0.342400.35 −0.43 ⇄ 0.20scatter
Nasdaq 100
ndx
0.640.14 0.432400.36 −0.22 0.58scatter
Brent
brent
−0.58−0.31 −0.21240−0.03 −0.29 −0.10scatter
S&P 500
spx
0.580.26 0.492400.37 −0.11 1.01scatter
MSCI ACWI (ETF)
acwi
0.570.23 0.532400.46 −0.23 0.99scatter
LQ45
lq45
−0.49−0.09 0.062210.08 −0.17 ⇄ 0.05scatter
UST 10YR
ust10y
−0.48−0.12 −0.18238−0.02 −0.09 −0.07scatter
MSCI EM (ETF)
eem
0.460.14 0.542500.63 −0.49 0.58scatter
DXY
dxy
−0.45−0.17 −0.27240−0.21 +0.04 −1.43scatter
JCI (IHSG)
jci
−0.40−0.10 0.042210.11 −0.21 ⇄ 0.05scatter
VanEck Semiconductor (SMH)
smh
0.36−0.03 0.402500.35 −0.38 ⇄ 0.27scatter
MSCI Indonesia (EIDO, USD)
eido
−0.360.04 0.222400.22 −0.18 0.22scatter
USD/IDR
usdidr
0.340.06 0.08239−0.14 +0.20 ⇄ 0.27scatter
Copper
copper
0.300.07 0.402400.40 −0.33 0.39scatter
UST 2YR
ust2y
−0.27−0.10 −0.182380.02 −0.12 ⇄ −0.07scatter
INDOGB 10YR
id10y
0.200.13 0.02213−0.15 +0.28 ⇄ 0.00scatter
WisdomTree Cloud (WCLD)
wcld
0.100.19 0.172500.20 0.00 0.12scatter
iShares Software (IGV)
igv
0.090.24 0.272500.24 0.00 0.23scatter
Utilities (XLU)
xlu
0.06−0.31 0.012500.18 −0.50 ⇄ 0.02scatter
First Trust Cybersecurity (CIBR)
cibr
0.030.07 0.242500.26 −0.19 0.23scatter
Gold
gold
−0.03−0.08 0.252400.10 −0.18 ⇄ 0.23scatter
Newcastle coal
coal
–– –0– – –scatter

Compared with the headline cross-asset series and the series in the same catalog category and country. Changes are matched on common dates. Beta = change in KraneShares China Internet (KWEB) per unit change in the other series (least squares, 1 year). Amber: fewer than 20 common changes (hover a value for its n). Stability: the 3-month correlation minus the 3-year one; ⇄ marks opposite signs. A change in correlation describes the past; it does not say the relationship has broken or will return. Data ↓

KraneShares China Internet (KWEB) · Bitcoin
2060120252
0.000.250.50Dec 24Mar 25Jun 25Sep 25Dec 25Mar 26Jun 26Sep 2660-reading corre 0.10

Rolling correlation of daily changes over the last 60 common readings, last 3 years.

Who moves first? (1 year)

Lag (readings)-10-9-8-7-6-5-4-3-2-1+0+1+2+3+4+5+6+7+8+9+10
correlation−0.03−0.020.010.04−0.050.04−0.05−0.030.00−0.010.230.140.03−0.040.03−0.020.02−0.07−0.100.020.04

Lag +k: today's change in KraneShares China Internet (KWEB) against the change in Bitcoin k readings later (positive = the first one leads). A peak away from 0 is a description of the past year only.