IDEN

Relationship Lab

How a series has moved with others: the correlation of daily changes (% for prices, bp for rates) over 1 and 3 years, the beta, a rolling correlation and whether one tends to move first. Correlation is not causation, and it changes over time.

Arm (ARM) against…

Series1M3M1Y ↓n 1Y3Y3M − 3YBeta 1Y
PHLX Semiconductor (SOX)
sox
0.890.82 0.682400.69 +0.13 1.19scatter
Nasdaq 100
ndx
0.870.76 0.642400.66 +0.10 2.58scatter
S&P 500
spx
0.800.59 0.562400.60 −0.01 3.45scatter
Eaton (ETN)
ETN
0.740.60 0.472500.49 +0.11 0.94scatter
Coherent (COHR)
COHR
0.610.65 0.462500.57 +0.08 0.42scatter
CoreWeave (CRWV)
CRWV
0.430.51 0.452500.37 +0.14 0.37scatter
Arista (ANET)
ANET
0.590.49 0.412500.48 +0.01 0.61scatter
Ciena (CIEN)
CIEN
0.530.62 0.412500.43 +0.19 0.45scatter
Dell (DELL)
DELL
0.370.46 0.402500.39 +0.07 0.43scatter
Copper
copper
0.600.49 0.332400.23 +0.26 0.94scatter
UST 10YR
ust10y
−0.66−0.32 −0.302380.00 −0.32 ⇄ −0.35scatter
Constellation (CEG)
CEG
0.530.32 0.302500.32 0.00 0.50scatter
Digital Realty (DLR)
DLR
0.700.30 0.272500.31 −0.01 0.79scatter
Bitcoin
btc
0.630.28 0.232390.24 +0.04 0.42scatter
Brent
brent
−0.63−0.30 −0.23240−0.02 −0.28 −0.33scatter
Gold
gold
0.360.25 0.212400.08 +0.16 0.57scatter
UST 2YR
ust2y
−0.41−0.14 −0.162380.06 −0.20 ⇄ −0.18scatter
DXY
dxy
−0.17−0.10 −0.15240−0.09 −0.01 −2.36scatter
INDOGB 10YR
id10y
−0.190.01 −0.02213−0.05 +0.07 ⇄ −0.01scatter
LQ45
lq45
0.230.20 −0.012210.09 +0.10 −0.04scatter
USD/IDR
usdidr
−0.28−0.12 −0.01239−0.13 +0.01 −0.06scatter
JCI (IHSG)
jci
0.190.25 0.002210.09 +0.15 0.00scatter
Newcastle coal
coal
–– –0– – –scatter

Compared with the headline cross-asset series and the series in the same catalog category and country. Changes are matched on common dates. Beta = change in Arm (ARM) per unit change in the other series (least squares, 1 year). Amber: fewer than 20 common changes (hover a value for its n). Stability: the 3-month correlation minus the 3-year one; ⇄ marks opposite signs. A change in correlation describes the past; it does not say the relationship has broken or will return. Data ↓

Arm (ARM) · PHLX Semiconductor (SOX)
2060120252
0.500.600.700.80Dec 24Mar 25Jun 25Sep 25Dec 25Mar 26Jun 26Sep 2660-reading corre 0.80

Rolling correlation of daily changes over the last 60 common readings, last 3 years.

Who moves first? (1 year)

Lag (readings)-10-9-8-7-6-5-4-3-2-1+0+1+2+3+4+5+6+7+8+9+10
correlation0.10−0.020.080.06−0.02−0.12−0.080.05−0.070.000.680.05−0.040.07−0.08−0.04−0.080.090.070.040.06

Lag +k: today's change in Arm (ARM) against the change in PHLX Semiconductor (SOX) k readings later (positive = the first one leads). A peak away from 0 is a description of the past year only.