Daily Shot · Augur Infinity · 2026-09-25
Where does the current yield level stand relative to long-term historical averages?
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NY Fed Liberty Street · 2026-09-22
Line chart showing the average percentage share (vertical axis, ranging from zero to 4.5 percent) of daily trading volume between 2:55-3:05 …
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NY Fed Liberty Street · 2026-09-22
Line chart showing the average percentage share (vertical axis, ranging from zero to 27 percent) of daily trading volume between 2:55-3:05 p…
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Charlie Bilello · Week in Charts · 2026-09-21
“For more than five years, inflation has been running above target. The plain fact is that inflation is too high and has been for too long.”
CPI YoY: −1,64 dalam lima tahun, ke 3,71.
Interpretasi hasil buat ulangSumber: FRED CPIAUCSL; FRED CPILFESL · Per 1 Agu 2026 · Diperbarui 2026-09-30 09:08 UTC · Terinspirasi dari Charlie Bilello · Week in Charts, 2026-09-21
Charlie Bilello · Week in Charts · 2026-09-21
The Fed Funds Rate was lifted to a new range of 3.75-4.00%, the first hike since 2023. And judging by the reaction from the bond market, the…
UST 2YR: +438 bp dalam lima tahun, ke 4,79%.
Interpretasi hasil buat ulangSumber: FRED DGS2; FRED DFEDTARU · Per 13 Okt 2026 · Diperbarui 2026-09-30 09:08 UTC · Terinspirasi dari Charlie Bilello · Week in Charts, 2026-09-21
Charlie Bilello · Week in Charts · 2026-09-21
The market is now pricing in at least one more 0.25% rate hike by year end, which would bring the Fed Funds Rate up to 4.00-4.25%.
Fed funds upper bound: +375 bp dalam lima tahun, ke 4,00%.
Interpretasi hasil buat ulangSumber: FRED DFEDTARU; FRED DGS2 · Per 13 Okt 2026 · Diperbarui 2026-09-30 09:08 UTC · Terinspirasi dari Charlie Bilello · Week in Charts, 2026-09-21
Charlie Bilello · Week in Charts · 2026-09-21
This is right in line with the Fed’s updated economic projections , which imply one more rate hike as well. Importantly, they increased thei…
Unemployment rate: −0,40 dalam lima tahun, ke 4,10.
Interpretasi hasil buat ulangSumber: FRED UNRATE; FRED ICSA; FRED CPIAUCSL · Per 19 Sep 2026 · Diperbarui 2026-09-30 09:08 UTC · Terinspirasi dari Charlie Bilello · Week in Charts, 2026-09-21
Charlie Bilello · Week in Charts · 2026-09-21
And with Diesel prices in the US hitting a record high, prices are anything but stable. At $6.51 per gallon, they are now 73% higher than at…
Charlie Bilello · Week in Charts · 2026-09-21
Since 1982, stocks have actually performed better following rate HIKES than rate CUTS.
Fed funds upper bound: +375 bp dalam lima tahun, ke 4,00%.
Interpretasi hasil buat ulangSumber: FRED DFEDTARU; FRED DGS2 · Per 13 Okt 2026 · Diperbarui 2026-09-30 09:08 UTC · Terinspirasi dari Charlie Bilello · Week in Charts, 2026-09-21
Charlie Bilello · Week in Charts · 2026-09-21
That’s certainly true today, with S&P 500 earnings now expected to rise 34% in 2026, up from 15% at the start of the year.
S&P 500: +72,6% dalam lima tahun, ke 7.719.
Interpretasi hasil buat ulangSumber: Yahoo Finance ^GSPC · Per 14 Okt 2026 · Diperbarui 2026-09-30 09:08 UTC · Terinspirasi dari Charlie Bilello · Week in Charts, 2026-09-21
Charlie Bilello · Week in Charts · 2026-09-21
Recently, that direction has been up. The 10-year Treasury yield moved above 5% last week, closing at its highest level since July 2007.
UST 10YR: +362 bp dalam lima tahun, ke 5,21%.
Interpretasi hasil buat ulangSumber: FRED DGS10 · Per 13 Okt 2026 · Diperbarui 2026-09-30 09:08 UTC · Terinspirasi dari Charlie Bilello · Week in Charts, 2026-09-21
Charlie Bilello · Week in Charts · 2026-09-21
While it’s been a challenging year in the bond market thus far, long-term bond investors should take solace in the following chart. It illus…
UST 10YR: +362 bp dalam lima tahun, ke 5,21%.
Interpretasi hasil buat ulangSumber: FRED DGS10 · Per 13 Okt 2026 · Diperbarui 2026-09-30 09:08 UTC · Terinspirasi dari Charlie Bilello · Week in Charts, 2026-09-21
Charlie Bilello · Week in Charts · 2026-09-21
Lastly, credit sensitive instruments have yet to show any sign of higher default risk due to the shift back to a tightening cycle. Credit sp…
US HY OAS: −78 bp dalam lima tahun, ke 3,25%.
Interpretasi hasil buat ulangSumber: FRED BAMLH0A0HYM2; FRED BAMLC0A0CM · Per 14 Okt 2026 · Diperbarui 2026-09-30 09:08 UTC · Terinspirasi dari Charlie Bilello · Week in Charts, 2026-09-21
Charlie Bilello · Week in Charts · 2026-09-21
Absent spending cuts or new revenues, we’d have to borrow it – adding another $1.2 trillion to the national debt.
Federal debt / GDP: +3,23 dalam lima tahun, ke 122,59.
Interpretasi hasil buat ulangSumber: FRED GFDEGDQ188S; Treasury Fiscal Data: debt to the penny · Per 24 Sep 2026 · Diperbarui 2026-09-30 09:08 UTC · Terinspirasi dari Charlie Bilello · Week in Charts, 2026-09-21
Charlie Bilello · Week in Charts · 2026-09-21
While the $5,000 check would feel great in the short run, it would have a negative impact on many households over time as wages would fail t…
Charlie Bilello · Week in Charts · 2026-09-21
Polymarket currently has the odds of the Democrats winning the House at 93% and the Senate at 64% . Which means the most likely outcome afte…
Charlie Bilello · Week in Charts · 2026-09-21
That’s a 47% gap, near the highest on record.
Charlie Bilello · Week in Charts · 2026-09-21
The 30-year mortgage rate in the US of close to 7% is at its highest level since January 2025 and more than double the artificially low rate…
US 30Y mortgage rate: +415 bp dalam lima tahun, ke 7,03%.
Interpretasi hasil buat ulangSumber: FRED MORTGAGE30US; Computed from FRED WALCL, WTREGEN, RRPONTSYD · Per 24 Sep 2026 · Diperbarui 2026-09-30 09:08 UTC · Terinspirasi dari Charlie Bilello · Week in Charts, 2026-09-21