Here’s how the Fed should reveal its outlook for the economy
As Chairman Kevin Warsh looks to revamp the central bank’s communication strategy, the dot plot is ripe for change.
Everything we collected, one card per story. The same story from several sources is shown once.
As Chairman Kevin Warsh looks to revamp the central bank’s communication strategy, the dot plot is ripe for change.
The U.S. raised market access issues for Mastercard and Citigroup in China during bilateral meetings in Bangkok this week, a U.S. Treasury official says.
Investors expect the Fed to pause rate hikes in October, but Kevin Warsh's rejection of traditional communications practices and continued concern about inflation leave the decision uncertain.
CoreWeave Inc. is navigating turbulent stock trends due to climbing bond yields and investor trepidation over its debt, raising fears of default. Although a temporary boost followed optimistic comments from Nvidia's CEO, the overall sentiment leans towards caution. Analysts belie
Indian government bonds have experienced ongoing losses for nine consecutive weeks due to RBI's monetary tightening measures. The benchmark 6.94% 2036 bond yield has climbed over 62 basis points during this period, reflecting investor concerns. Additionally, the RBI's commitment
Kevin Warsh, the central bank’s chairman, suggested he wouldn’t push to raise borrowing rates this month. But persistent inflation may force the Fed’s hand.
Millions affected by smoke from wildfires as schools close, respiratory illnesses soar and diplomatic tensions rise Singapore is threatening to prosecute companies responsible for some of the worst fires in years in neighbouring Indonesia, as the region grows increasingly frustra
Bitcoin recovered above $82,000 after briefly falling below $80,000 as hotter-than-expected US producer inflation intensified concerns over Federal Reserve rate hikes. Nearly $950 million in leveraged positions were liquidated, while spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded $261 million in out
Indian government bonds remained stable on Friday as traders contemplated the central bank's forthcoming policy moves. A noteworthy auction of 10-year bonds is on the horizon, anticipated to shed light on market demand and interest. Recent shifts in US Treasury yields have bolste
Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey said rising energy prices have had limited broader inflationary effects so far, but warned that second-round pressures remain uncertain. With inflation at 3.1%, above the 2% target, policymakers are weighing potential interest rate hikes aga
Japanese investors sold foreign bonds for a fourth consecutive week, pushing year-to-date net outflows to 5.34 trillion yen, the highest since 2022. Rising domestic bond yields are encouraging capital repatriation, while foreign investors increase Japanese bond and equity holding
Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh had an opportunity Thursday night to shape expectations heading into the central bank’s interest-rate-setting meeting in two week’s time — and in keeping with his practice of leaving markets guessing, he chose not to.
Investors had pared their bets for a rate hike at the US central bank’s Oct 27-28 policy gathering.
Fed chairman Kevin Warsh chairman made no remarks on monetary policy or his outlook for the US economy.
The Reserve Bank of India took decisive steps to stabilize the rupee, significantly affecting financial markets. New constraints led to skyrocketing hedging costs and dwindled liquidity in the forex sector. Moreover, bond yields soared to their highest in three years due to escal
Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago President Austan Goolsbee called the latest US consumer and producer inflation data discouraging, raising concerns about persistent price pressures. While temporary factors such as tariffs and geopolitical conflicts could ease, he warned that deman
CoreWeave’s share and bond sell-off has intensified concerns over the debt financing behind the AI infrastructure boom. With around $50 billion in debt and bond yields above 16%, investors are questioning whether future AI revenues can justify rising borrowing and infrastructure
Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh gave no signal on whether the US central bank would change interest rates at its October 27-28 meeting, reiterating its commitment to price stability. Markets await further clues from economic data and policymakers on the rate outlook.
Experts are split on whether to spread cash across T-bills or hold it for stock market opportunities.
China’s yuan remained stable against the dollar, heading for a third consecutive weekly gain on resilient exports. The currency reached its strongest level since January 2023, despite domestic economic concerns and rising global bond yields. Investors await China’s third-quarter
The dollar is about to experience its first weekly decline in five weeks amid AI investment concerns. The euro has rebounded from a 17-month low as US yields fall. Investors are worried about the profitability of data centre operators amidst AI stock volatility. Federal Reserve C
2.1× its usual daily move (close to close, 2026-10-15)
A selloff in risky AI-linked stocks eased as buyers returned to technology amid falling bond yields. CoreWeave experienced significant stock declines and bond yield concerns raised worries about rising financing costs. Major AI laboratories like Anthropic and OpenAI reflected slo
Spot gold was up 1.1% at US$4,149 per ounce, after slipping to a one-week low in the previous session.
Analysts are doubtful about the S&P 500 crossing the 8,000 points mark despite strong earnings expectations. The rise in oil prices and bond yields has increased market uncertainty ahead of midterm elections. Major technology companies have reported mixed outcomes indicating pote
'We see real risks the Fed will deliver another rate hike in two weeks' time,' one Fedwatcher warns
Chip makers and tech investors such as Samsung and SoftBank plunge as potential interest rate hikes spook markets Business news – live updates Larry Elliott: the global economy is muddling through. But a storm is coming An accelerating sell-off of AI-linked shares has hit global
Indian Bank, UCO Bank, South Indian Bank and Karur Vysya Bank reported double-digit Q2 profit growth, supported by core income and loan expansion. However, rising bond yields hurt treasury earnings, while improving asset quality and provisions shaped quarterly performance.
The exchange comes as U.S. debt exceeds $40 trillion and 10-year Treasury yields remain above 5%, intensifying scrutiny of the fiscal outlook.
Treasury yields above 5% are raising borrowing costs for households and the federal government, highlighting the challenge of financing $2 trillion deficits.
RPG Enterprises Chairman Harsh Goenka shared a hypothetical thought experiment on X regarding Tata Sons. He noted that selling Tata Sons' Rs 11.68 lakh crore listed equity portfolio and reinvesting in 6-7% safe yield instruments could generate up to Rs 82,000 crore annually for p
Emerging Asian currencies weakened as hotter-than-expected US inflation revived Federal Reserve rate hike concerns, boosting the dollar and triggering a sell-off in AI-linked stocks. South Korea's won, Taiwan dollar, Philippine peso and Indonesian rupiah came under pressure amid
Published for the Treasury Select Committee
Amidst a backdrop of volatility in interest rates and a bond market selloff, Wall Street banks experienced a downturn in fixed-income trading revenues, as Treasury yields surged to multi-decade highs. This substantial decline resulted in reduced client activity within the fixed-i
Chip-related counters in South Korea and Japan account for the bulk of the heavy selling.
The Federal Reserve's latest Beige Book highlights persistent inflation pressures and a stagnant US labour market, with rising energy, tariff, and insurance costs hitting businesses. With September consumer inflation rising 3.7%, expectations are growing for another potential int
US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent urged the World Bank to ease restrictions on oil and gas financing, support deep-sea mining, and reform procurement policies. He also advocated nuclear energy investments and stronger IMF scrutiny of global economic imbalances, reflecting the T
Early Thursday, bonds issued by the Indian government saw slight upswings, influenced by a rally in US Treasuries. Despite this, concerns over liquidity, climbing interest rates, and mounting supply challenges have capped these hikes. Traders are curbing risk levels prior to a ma
Citigroup now expects the US Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by 25 basis points in December following hotter-than-expected September inflation. The brokerage forecasts rates to remain unchanged thereafter, with rate cuts unlikely before June 2027.
The IMF warned that Asia’s economic growth may slow to 4.4% in 2027 amid energy price shocks, Middle East conflict, AI market correction risks and rising bond yields. It urged central banks to prioritise price stability and governments to provide targeted fiscal support while man
Chinese stocks tumbled as hotter-than-expected US inflation data revived concerns over prolonged high interest rates. Technology shares led losses across mainland China and Hong Kong markets as investors reassessed the outlook for US monetary policy and risk-sensitive assets.
Seoul and Tokyo bore the brunt of the selling as traders bailed out of once-imperious chipmakers.
Indian government bonds are expected to draw investor interest early Thursday as US Treasury yields retreat. The Reserve Bank of India's recent hawkish outlook on interest rates continues to create a cautious market environment. The 6.94% 2036 bond yield is projected to stabilize
Analis menilai pelemahan rupiah dipicu data inflasi Amerika Serikat (AS) yang lebih tinggi dari perkiraan dan mendorong ekspektasi kenaikan The Fed Rate.
Stocks in mainland China and Hong Kong slumped on Thursday, with the benchmark of yuan-denominated equities sliding to a 14-month low, as a hot reading on US inflation boosted bets that the Federal Reserve would raise interest rates and a plunge in the South Korean market further
The dollar has fallen back after peaking at an 18-month high, fueled by stronger than expected inflation data. Expectations of an October rate hike were moderated by prudent remarks from Federal Reserve officials. With Treasury yields decreasing, the dollar slipped against key cu
Gold prices have stabilized after recently dipping to a one-week low, now sitting at $4,114.57 per ounce. This slight recovery follows an uptick in US consumer prices, primarily driven by rising gasoline costs, pushing discussions about potential interest rate hikes. Currently, t
Bursa saham Asia melemah setelah inflasi AS September meningkat, memicu ekspektasi kenaikan suku bunga oleh The Fed.
Further disruptions to Middle East oil supplies stemming from the Iran war are feared to fuel inflation.
Iran says it does not seek an endless war, but vows to fight until the US accepts its demands as ships sink in Hormuz.
The World Bank needs profound reforms, including reversing a ban on upstream oil and gas financing, U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said in a statement for the World Bank Development Committee and the IMF International Monetary and Financial Committee. The World Bank has ma
Market participants and economists are split on the question of whether or not the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates by another quarter-point in two weeks.
‘I don’t think you should jack up rates into this environment right now,’ says head of fixed-income at Aptus Capital Advisors
Michelle Bowman, the Vice Chair for Supervision of the US Federal Reserve, spoke during the IMF-World Bank meetings in Bangkok. She stated that the central bank does not feel urgency for further rate hikes at this time. Bowman's comments came after a recent rate increase that set
Bank of America shares fell Wednesday after the company posted weaker-than-expected trading revenue and the impact of a $1.2 billion Treasury fine.
Economists divided on Fed rate hike as inflation creates uncertainty before US midterm elections in a tense market.
Bank of England Chief Economist Huw Pill has questioned market expectations for four quarter-point rate hikes over the next 12 months as policymakers assess the inflationary fallout of the Iran war. His comments highlight divisions within the Monetary Policy Committee over how to
In September, the US Treasury yields climbed as the Consumer Price Index (CPI) showed a surprising rise of 0.6% month-over-month and 3.7% year-over-year. This unexpected inflation report heightened the chances of an interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve in December, signaling
Rising cost of living raises chances of another Federal funds rate increase before the year-end.
US consumer prices increased in September, contributing to expectations of an interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve. Following this inflation data, gold prices fell over 1% for the third consecutive session. The US dollar index also climbed, making gold more expensive for for
As the US Treasury imposed historic fines on Bank of America over compliance failures involving Chinese money-laundering networks, analysts see the action as a signal that could prompt Western banks to tighten scrutiny of Chinese clients and cross-border transactions. The penalti
Indian government bonds are currently facing notable losses, pushing the 10-year yield to its highest since March 2023. This downturn comes in the wake of hawkish remarks from Reserve Bank of India Governor Sanjay Malhotra about financial stability. Additionally, India's wholesal
Third-largest fine in US treasury’s history, due to failure to report suspicious activity, may affect third-quarter earnings Bank of America (BAC.N), has been fined $1.21bn by US regulators for widespread failures to detect potential money laundering and other illicit activity,
Japan’s five-year government bond yield held steady at 2.34% on Wednesday after strong demand at a Ministry of Finance auction. Solid bid-to-cover ratios, easing French bond yields, and growing market expectations that the Bank of Japan is nearing the end of its rate hike cycle b
Indian government bonds faced a downturn, attributed to soaring oil prices and statements from the Reserve Bank of India. The yield on the benchmark 6.94% 2036 bond rose following the central bank's recent rate hike. Geopolitical tensions involving Yemen and Saudi Arabia also pus
Indian equities traded nearly flat after a sharp rally in the previous session, with IT stocks extending gains while pharma shares declined. Analysts flagged elevated US bond yields and crude oil prices as headwinds, even as short-covering and hopes of tax relief supported sentim
The IMF has urged governments worldwide to rein in spending, narrow budget deficits and reduce debt as global public debt approaches 100% of GDP. Rising bond yields and borrowing costs are adding to fiscal pressures and limiting room to tackle future economic shocks.
IHSG menguat signifikan di level 6.004,47, didorong melemahnya dolar AS dan yield Treasury.
Indian jewellery stocks present a mixed picture ahead of the festive season. Despite rising gold prices and macro headwinds, Q2 business updates show robust revenue growth. With the festive calendar shifting demand to Q3, analysts weigh in on valuations, earnings trajectory, and
IHSG dibuka di zona hijau dengan kenaikan 0,25%. Tekanan pasar diharapkan mereda seiring melemahnya dolar AS dan yield Treasury.
Rising sovereign debt and borrowing costs have prompted a fresh warning from the International Monetary Fund (IMF) about risks to the fiscal health of member countries, with 24-year highs in US Treasury yields expected to become one of the focal topics for central bankers and fin
For the September quarter, Nifty 50 banks are forecasted to see an 11.5% rise in net interest income, yet net profits are expected to grow more slowly at around 10%. This growth is supported by robust capital inflows from the RBI's FCNR-B deposit swap scheme, bolstering deposit g
MSCI Inc.’s Asia Pacific equities index advanced 0.2%. A selloff in semiconductor stocks sent the gauge to its weakest close since August on Tuesday. Earlier, the S&P 500 pared earlier losses to close little changed after New York Fed President John Williams said he continued to
A lawyer for Lisa Cook raised “significant concerns” over the “objectivity and fitness of the committee” assembled by President Trump as a way to remove her as a governor at the Federal Reserve.
The U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) report is due to be released on Wednesday, with economists predicting that key inflation metrics continued to moderate in September despite elevated oil prices, giving the Fed room to slow down on interest rate hikes. For September, economists
At a recent conference, John Williams from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York expressed optimism about a potential interest-rate increase this year, suggesting inflation could hit the 2% goal by next year. He cited the role of artificial intelligence in affecting inflation rate
Some analysts say investors are demanding a higher “term premium” to buy government debt, reflecting growing worries about debt levels and deficits.
Asian AI stocks tumbled as rising bond yields, higher financing costs, and concerns over excessive infrastructure spending weakened investor confidence. South Korea’s Kospi and Japan’s chipmakers suffered sharp losses, while AI-related funding faced tougher scrutiny. Investors in
The IMF has flagged three risks to global financial stability: an AI-driven market correction, rising sovereign bond yields and cyberattacks. These threats could trigger broader financial stress, while high borrowing and tight market linkages may amplify their economic impact.
Nifty 50 could reach 26,000-26,500 within four to five months, driven by cooling US Treasury yields, dollar weakness, and FII short covering, according to Monarch Networth Capital CEO Gaurav Bhandari. Strong monthly domestic inflows of Rs 31,000 crore provide additional support f
Bank of England policymaker Megan Greene said the IMF’s upward revision to the UK’s economic growth forecast supports her view that monetary policy remains insufficiently restrictive. She warned that delaying interest rate hikes could prolong inflationary pressures, highlighting
Rising US Treasury yields and mortgage rates have triggered increased mortgage-related hedging, adding selling pressure to the bond market. However, analysts expect the impact to remain limited compared with previous selloffs, as refinancing incentives decline and the mortgage ma
Rolling coverage of the latest economic and financial news UK government bonds are rallying this morning, after the IMF said it had increased its growth forecast for the country this year. Yields (which fall when bond prices rise) are down by about 5 basis points for the 10-year
The Indian bond market experienced a surge as value investors jumped in, increasing demand significantly. After hitting a three-year peak, the benchmark 6.94% 2036 bond yield took a slight dip. Anticipation is mounting among investors for substantial debt issuance from the Reserv
China’s yuan remained near a three-year high against the dollar, supported by central bank guidance and strong foreign exchange settlement. However, elevated US Treasury yields and geopolitical tensions limited gains. The PBOC set its strongest midpoint since February 2023, while
Japanese government bond yields moved in opposite directions on Tuesday, with shorter-term yields rising and longer-dated yields falling as investors assessed inflation pressures, wholesale price data and the Bank of Japan’s policy outlook.
The IMF says risks in the government bond market have worsened and that yields could jump sharply and disorderly.
Mainland Chinese investors bought more Hong Kong stocks than they sold for a fourth consecutive month in September, with purchases accelerating despite persistent headwinds from elevated US Treasury yields and oil prices. Onshore traders poured a net HK$60.8 billion (US$7.7 billi
Indian stock markets struggled on Monday, as the Nifty 50 saw a considerable drop. The falls were attributed to increasing bond yields, consistent outflows from foreign institutional investors, and pervasive global concerns. Attention now shifts to forthcoming announcements from
US Treasuries are looking increasingly attractive to Hong Kong investors after a prolonged sell-off pushed yields to multi-decade highs, prompting some strategists and wealth managers to recommend buying while others warned that further losses may lie ahead. The benchmark 10-year
Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack has stressed the urgency of adopting a strict monetary policy as a response to mounting inflation that now permeates various sectors, not just energy. She advocates for prompt adjustments to keep inflation on target at 2%, emphasizing transpar
Gold is struggling to regain its footing after retreating from September highs above $4,400 an ounce, as a stronger U.S. dollar, surging Treasury yields and expectations of further Federal Reserve tightening weigh on the precious metal. But while speculative investors have been r
US bank stocks are nearing correction territory ahead of earnings, with investors watching for clues on consumer resilience amid elevated borrowing costs and rising Treasury yields. While trading revenue is expected to remain strong, analysts are divided on the outlook, weighing
The Cleveland Fed president said that tighter monetary policy would be needed to bring down inflation.
Indian benchmark indices reversed early gains on Monday, with the Sensex falling 548 points and the Nifty closing below 22,400 amid persistent FII selling, rising bond yields and geopolitical concerns. Investors will track key stocks, global cues, crude oil prices, inflation data
Indian equity markets ended lower on Monday as rising bond yields and continued FII outflows weighed on sentiment. The Nifty fell 0.70% to 22,363, while the Sensex lost 0.76% to 71,925. FMCG stocks led sectoral losses, while auto stocks gained. Dr Reddy’s and Bajaj Auto topped Ni
India inflations jumps for the 11-straight month, raising prospects of a further interest rate hike
US Treasury yields have hit two-decade highs, driven by Middle East conflict risks and fiscal concerns. Key indicators including rising options hedging, record AI-sector corporate borrowing, mortgage convexity hedging, and a steepening yield curve suggest that the bond market sel
Eurozone government bond yields eased as lower energy prices and a Russia-Ukraine energy ceasefire announcement improved investor sentiment. German yields declined, while French and Italian bond spreads narrowed. However, markets continued pricing in higher European Central Bank
Indian government bonds extended losses on Monday, pushing the benchmark 10-year yield to a three-year high as the RBI’s latest liquidity-tightening measures added to selling pressure. Tighter banking-system liquidity can curb banks’ capacity to invest in government securities, w
China's yuan hovers near a 3-1/2-year high against the dollar as fading expectations of a US rate hike support the currency. However, trade tensions, China's widening yield disadvantage and concerns over export demand could limit further gains.
Chinese stocks declined as government support measures failed to restore investor confidence amid rising global bond yields, Middle East tensions and US technology investigations. Concerns over inflation, trade restrictions and export prospects weighed on sentiment, while technol
Investasi Pilihan Bos MI Saat Yield Obligasi Naik - Volatilitas Rupiah Hingga Akhir Tahun 2026
The Indian stock market saw a downturn as both Sensex and Nifty lost previously gained ground. Market confidence was shaken by ongoing FII selling and increasing bond yields. Tech Mahindra experienced the most significant drop, with shares down nearly 4%. Conversely, the broader
On Monday, Indian government bonds experienced a significant decline due to central bank measures affecting liquidity. The benchmark 6.94% 2036 bond yield rose to its highest level in three years. The Reserve Bank of India announced it would sell 250 billion rupees of bonds to ti
US investors will track major bank earnings, September inflation data and Treasury yields this week for clues on corporate profitability and the Federal Reserve’s rate outlook, as persistent price pressures and rising borrowing costs test the stock market rally.
Imbal hasil SBN 10 tahun Indonesia tercatat 7,17% dengan spread 188 bps terhadap US Treasury.
Indian companies may re-enter the bond market given recent central bank measures aimed at stabilizing the rupee. High overseas yields and increased hedging costs have limited borrowing options for these businesses. Analysts suggest that some companies could reconsider bond issuan
The Reserve Bank of India has implemented emergency measures to stabilize the rupee, which is facing strong global pressure. Analysts indicate that the rupee may continue to decline despite these efforts. The rupee's drop is influenced by rising US bond yields and significant for
China’s investment banks spent decades trying to emulate Goldman Sachs, the Wall Street powerhouse that became a benchmark for the country’s financial ambitions and whose alumni included senior US policymakers like former Treasury secretary Henry Paulson. Today, Beijing’s goal ha
For four years, tech has been the answer to almost every question about this bull market.
The big banks kick off earnings season on Tuesday, to provide a first read on the health of the economy in a rising-yield environment.
Foreign investors sold Indian equities worth Rs 45,125 crore in October's first six sessions, nearly matching September's outflows. Elevated US bond yields and crude oil prices continue to pressure markets, while inflation data and geopolitical developments could influence the se
Ada Sentimen The Fed - MSCI, Sektor Mana Yang Jadi Pilihan Investor?