CPI AS 2026-09: inflasi memanas
Rilis resmi Resmi
U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, CPI-U semua item · 2026-09: 3,7% y/y · sebelumnya 3,4%
Dibanding perkiraan
Tidak ada konsensus yang tercatat sebelum rilis, sehingga perubahan dibaca terhadap bulan sebelumnya: +0,3 pp.
Reaksi pasar
| Pasar | Perubahan | Besaran vs gerak harian biasa | Penutupan |
|---|---|---|---|
| DXY | +0,36% | 1,1× | 13 Okt → 14 Okt |
| S&P 500 | −1,11% | 1,4× | 13 Okt → 14 Okt |
| Gold | −1,66% | 0,9× | 13 Okt → 14 Okt |
| USD/IDR | +0,43% | 0,8× | 14 Okt → 15 Okt |
| JCI (IHSG) | −1,33% | 0,9× | 14 Okt → 15 Okt |
Cerita di sekitarnya
- Inflation likely peaked for 2026 but will remain sticky, according to prediction markets
- Higher rates could be needed to avoid 'inflationary mindset' taking hold, says Fed's Hammack
- Corporate Goods Price Index (Sept.)
- Japan's wholesale inflation remains elevated, keeps alive BOJ rate-hike view
- Why is the last mile of disinflation taking so long?
- Global Market Today: Asian shares slide as chip stocks tumble; investors eye US earnings, CPI
- Wamenko Dradjad Ungkap Inflasi Lebih Dipicu Masalah Pasokan
- Gold subdued with spotlight on US inflation data
- IMF Ramal Ekonomi RI Tumbuh 5,1% di 2026, Inflasi Bisa Naik ke 3,3%
- IMF warns bond yields could see a 'disorderly' spike as debt, inflation risks worsen
- Nasdaq futures slide amid chip selloff; Q3 earnings, inflation data loom
- Results of the 107th Opinion Survey on the General Public's Views and Behavior
- Global Market: Japan bond yields diverge as investors weigh inflation, BOJ outlook
- Germany's inflation climbs to 3.3% as energy costs jump
- UK shoppers seek deals as grocery price inflation rises again
- US banks post strong profits, but inflation and rate risks cloud outlook
- The latest inflation data is expected to show price increases are accelerating
- Wall Street Sees Inflation Easing Even With Oil Above $90
- MAS keeps Singdollar appreciation rate unchanged but warns of elevated inflation
- U.S. stock futures muted after chip losses drag Wall Street; CPI data awaited
Dampak ke house view dan tesis
- Inflasi AS: memanas → bertentangan
- Rupiah: relatif tetap → netral
- Dolar AS: relatif tetap → netral
- Tren saham AS: relatif tetap → netral
- Inflasi AS: memanas → bertentangan
Implikasi produk (arketipe)
| Reksa dana obligasi pemerintah IDR (durasi panjang) | berpotensi tertekan | tertekan oleh: Inflasi AS |
| Reksa dana pasar uang IDR | dampak terbatas | |
| Reksa dana saham global USD | dampak terbatas | |
| Reksa dana saham Indonesia | dampak terbatas | |
| Produk terkait emas | dampak terbatas |
Draf penjelasan DRAF: PERLU PERSETUJUAN
CPI AS 2026-09: 3,7% y/y dibanding 3,4% bulan sebelumnya (konsensus tidak tercatat). Inflasi dibaca memanas (dasar: bulan sebelumnya). Reaksi penutupan: DXY +0,36%, USD/IDR +0,43%. Status tesis sejak tinjauan terakhir: Long obligasi pemerintah Indonesia: perlu ditinjau; Overweight emas: perlu ditinjau; Saham AS netral: perlu ditinjau. Arketipe produk: Reksa dana obligasi pemerintah IDR (durasi panjang): berpotensi tertekan.
Inflasi AS naik dari bulan sebelumnya. Biasanya ini menaikkan imbal hasil obligasi AS dan dolar, yang dapat menekan rupiah dan SBN. Pergerakan pasar: DXY +0,36%, USD/IDR +0,43%. Pandangan kami sedang ditinjau berdasarkan bukti ini; belum ada perubahan rekomendasi.
Inflasi AS naik dari bulan sebelumnya. Inflasi AS yang lebih tinggi memengaruhi suku bunga di seluruh dunia, termasuk Indonesia. Kami memantau dampaknya terhadap investasi Anda dan akan memberi kabar jika pandangan kami berubah.