IDEN

Anomaly Radar

Which series made the most unusual move at their latest reading, measured against their own recent history. A ranking of statistics, not a risk score; nothing here says why it moved.

Mitra Adiperkasa (MAPI) · 2026-10-16Move −12.00%z −3.5σ5 readings −2.2σ1Y percentile 20n 141

Series page · Related series

21 series · Daily marketsMacro prints · Rank by latest movelevel extreme · Data ↓

SeriesClassMovez1Y pctlAs of
US federal deficit, rolling 12M Macro+177.99+1.3σ 542026-08-01
GDPNow (Atlanta Fed) Macro+3.48+1.2σ 892026-07-01
Average interest rate on marketable US debt Macro+0.03%+1.2σ 1002026-08-31
Federal interest payments (USD bn saar) Macro+28.09+1.1σ 1002026-04-01
Payrolls MoM ('000) Macro+141.00+1.1σ 862026-08-01
Trade balance (USD mn) Macro−17,394.00−1.0σ 112026-07-01
UMich sentiment Macro−3.50−0.8σ 112026-08-01
Retail sales YoY Macro+0.98+0.7σ 942026-08-01
CPI YoY Macro+0.17+0.6σ 892026-08-01
Sahm rule indicator Macro−0.04−0.6σ 02026-08-01
Industrial production YoY Macro+0.29+0.4σ 832026-08-01
Indonesia CPI YoY Macro+0.31%+0.4σ 562026-08-31
Housing starts ('000) Macro−34.00−0.3σ 92026-08-01
Job openings ('000) Macro+89.00+0.3σ 432026-07-01
Chicago Fed financial conditions Macro0.00+0.2σ 142026-09-18
Real GDP QoQ saar Macro−0.60−0.2σ 282026-04-01
Core CPI YoY Macro−0.02−0.2σ 62026-08-01
Initial claims Macro−1,000.00−0.1σ 62026-09-19
Federal debt / GDP Macro+0.030.0σ 1002026-01-01
Core PCE YoY Macro0.000.0σ 892026-07-01
Unemployment rate Macro0.000.0σ 312026-08-01
Method
  • Move: latest reading against the one before: % for prices, bp for rates, units otherwise.
  • z: the move divided by the standard deviation of the previous 252 one-reading moves (daily series) or 36 print-to-print changes (macro prints). 2σ is a move seen roughly once in 20 readings if moves were normally distributed; markets have fatter tails, so read it as a ranking.
  • z 5 readings: the change over the last 5 readings against earlier 5-reading changes that do not overlap the latest.
  • 1Y percentile: where the latest level sits among the last 252 levels (0 lowest, 100 highest). "Level extreme" ranks by distance from 50.
  • Included: daily series with at least 60 moves from readings at most 5 days apart (older weekly history is not used), and macro series with at least 8 earlier changes. Left out now: 276 with too little history, 168 daily series more than 10 days behind the newest market date (2026-10-16).