IDEN

Scatter Studio

One series against another, one dot per date. Changes mode compares weekly changes (5 readings for daily series), which avoids the false link two trending levels can show. The dashed line is a least-squares fit to the dots shown: it describes this sample, not a cause or a forecast.

Across countries or series (one dot each): Real policy rate vs stocks 3M · Inflation vs policy rate · 1M change vs z of the latest move · 1M change vs 1Y percentile

Swap axes ⇄
S&P 500 vs UST 10YR · 1Y · weekly changes
−20.0−10.00.010.020.0−2.000.002.004.00UST 10YR (bp) →S&P 500 (%) ↑2025-10-22: −8.00, 0.4252025-10-29: 11.00, 2.8542025-11-05: 9.00, −1.3692025-11-13: −6.00, −0.8652025-11-20: −1.00, −2.9502025-11-28: −8.00, 4.7462025-12-05: 12.00, 0.3112025-12-12: 5.00, −0.6262025-12-19: −3.00, 0.1042025-12-29: −4.00, 1.0422026-01-06: 6.00, 0.5662026-01-13: 0.00, 0.2722026-01-21: 8.00, −1.2652026-01-28: 0.00, 1.4892026-02-04: 3.00, −1.3662026-02-11: −11.00, 0.8542026-02-19: −10.00, −1.1462026-02-26: −6.00, 0.6852026-03-05: 11.00, −1.1312026-03-12: 14.00, −2.3142026-03-19: −2.00, −0.9912026-03-26: 17.00, −1.9582026-04-02: −11.00, 1.6292026-04-09: −2.00, 3.6762026-04-16: 3.00, 3.1742026-04-23: 2.00, 0.9532026-04-30: 6.00, 1.4152026-05-07: 1.00, 1.7772026-05-14: 6.00, 2.2372026-05-21: 10.00, −0.7402026-05-29: −12.00, 1.8042026-06-05: 10.00, −2.5902026-06-12: −7.00, 0.6462026-06-22: 3.00, 0.5562026-06-29: −13.00, −0.4332026-07-07: 17.00, 0.8522026-07-14: 3.00, 0.5302026-07-21: 5.00, −0.4562026-07-28: −2.00, −1.0712026-08-04: 2.00, 4.1432026-08-11: 7.00, −0.1082026-08-18: 1.00, −0.4722026-08-25: −7.00, −0.1882026-09-01: 15.00, −0.5972026-09-09: 4.00, 0.0642026-09-16: 18.00, −1.1072026-09-23: 10.00, 2.0422026-09-30: 18.00, −0.7072026-10-07: −1.00, 1.9632026-10-15: −18.00, −0.7402026-10-15

n 50correlation −0.23R² 0.05slope −0.044 % per bpringed: 2026-10-15

Dates: X's dates; Y uses its last reading on or before (at most 7 days earlier). Sources: FRED DGS10 · Yahoo Finance ^GSPC