IDEN

What the Street says

Big investment houses' latest public views, theme by theme, with the sentences they come from.

Our House View

The desk's current views, for comparison. They are set by people on the House view page.

Current House View
Asset classViewSinceBy
id_bondsOW31 Aug 2026demo seed
us_equityNEUTRAL31 Aug 2026demo seed
goldOW31 Aug 2026demo seed
usdNEUTRAL31 Aug 2026demo seed
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Where the big houses stand

Counted from each house's latest public commentary. A house is positive or negative on a theme when its sentences lean that way; read the sentences below before relying on a count.

Houses by theme
ThemePositiveNegativeMixedPositive housesNegative housesMixed houses
US equities400Morgan Stanley, BofA / Merrill, Amundi, Goldman Sachs AM––
Tech / AI502BlackRock, Morgan Stanley, Amundi, Bridgewater, Goldman Sachs AM–Goldman Sachs, Wells Fargo
EM & Asia equities200J.P. Morgan, Amundi––
China011–Morgan StanleyBlackRock
Japan310BlackRock, Amundi, Goldman Sachs AMMorgan Stanley–
Europe221Morgan Stanley, AmundiING, Goldman Sachs AMGoldman Sachs
Treasuries / duration021–Morgan Stanley, Wells FargoAmundi
Credit310Apollo, Amundi, Goldman Sachs AMMorgan Stanley–
Source: House research pages (via the cockpit file)
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House by house

Leaning by theme (+ positive, − negative, ± mixed)
HouseLatest pieceUS equitiesTech / AIEM & Asia equitiChinaJapanEuropeTreasuries / durCreditUS dollarGoldOil & energyFed (+ = hawkish
BlackRock28 Sep 2026–+–±+––––––+
ING28 Sep 2026–––––−––−–––
Goldman Sachs25 Sep 2026–±–––±––––−+
Morgan Stanley25 Sep 2026++–−−+−−+––+
Apollo24 Sep 2026–––––––+––––
BofA / Merrill21 Sep 2026+–––––––––––
Wells Fargo21 Sep 2026–±––––−–––––
J.P. Morgan10 Sep 2026––+–––––––––
Source: House research pages (via the cockpit file)
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The sentences behind each leaning 43 rows
HouseThemeLeaningSentenceDatePiece
BlackRockTech / AIpositiveWe stay neutral Chinese equities but see opportunities in physical AI.28 Sep 2026China up the value chain
BlackRockChinamixedWe’re neutral Chinese equities and stay focused on the areas where growth is translating into strong returns, including around physical AI.28 Sep 2026China up the value chain
BlackRockJapanpositiveU.S. job openings; U.S. & EU consumer confidence final U.S. nonfarm payrolls; Japan unemployment, EU flash HICP Since we launched our mega forces framework it has become clearer how their intersection shapes almost all our investment views and opens up alpha opportunities.28 Sep 2026China up the value chain
BlackRockFed (+ = hawkish)positiveMarket expectations for further Fed tightening may be overstated, in our view.28 Sep 2026China up the value chain
INGEuropenegativeThe ECB hike discount is stretched, but hard to lean against given the high level of uncertainty.28 Sep 2026EUR Money Markets: Tightening as intended
INGUS dollarnegativeIt’s not our baseline though, and we expect some stabilisation with modest downside risks for USD in the coming days.28 Sep 2026FX Daily: Data back in the driver’s seat this week
Goldman SachsTech / AImixedOur strategists expect the boost to earnings from investment in artificial intelligence (AI) to gradually fade, making productivity gains from AI increasingly important for stock profitability.24 Sep 2026can-ai-investment-drive-s-and-p-500-earnings-even-higher
Goldman SachsEuropemixedThat's why we raised our forecast for European LNG prices in Q4 to €70/MWh instead of the previous forecast of €53/MWh—because the demand destruction created by the recent rally needs to continue for the next few months.23 Sep 2026will-european-gas-prices-keep-rising-this-winter
Goldman SachsOil & energynegativeI think all of these things together end up creating a more cautious and a much slower adaptation process for LNG than for crude oil.23 Sep 2026will-european-gas-prices-keep-rising-this-winter
Goldman SachsFed (+ = hawkish)positiveInvestors expect the European Central Bank to step up the pace of interest rate hikes amid resilient economic growth and renewed energy inflation pressures.25 Sep 2026why-the-ecb-is-unlikely-to-keep-rates-higher-than-3-percent
Morgan StanleyUS equitiespositiveThis is one reason I continue to favor large-cap quality.21 Sep 2026Market Resilience Isn’t Complacency
Morgan StanleyTech / AIpositiveWe're still constructive on AI CapEx this year and next, because overall, we see the build-out really becoming more of a conditional build-out.23 Sep 2026The Unexpected Investment Case for AI Safety
Morgan StanleyChinanegativeSo, in that context, we would avoid negative exposure to rising U.S.-China technology transfer restrictions.23 Sep 2026The Unexpected Investment Case for AI Safety
Morgan StanleyJapannegativeAs a result, while Japanese rates may continue to rise gradually, our foreign-exchange strategists still expect a broader trend of yen weakness to emerge once temporary positioning effects fade.22 Sep 2026Why Central Banks Are Raising Rates Again
Morgan StanleyEuropepositiveEconomic activity in the euro area has also proven to be much more resilient than we had anticipated.22 Sep 2026Why Central Banks Are Raising Rates Again
Morgan StanleyTreasuries / durationnegativeThey see long-term opportunities to sell, on-site power equipment and contract it with their end customers for 15 to 20 years, and we're seeing evidence of that.25 Sep 2026AI Meets the Physical Economy
Morgan StanleyCreditnegativeSo, the crack spread is something that normally lives in a range of, like when the diesel market is weak, maybe sort of $8, $9, $10.24 Sep 2026The Global Diesel Problem
Morgan StanleyUS dollarpositiveOur foreign-exchange strategists therefore continue to favor dollar strength, particularly against the yen.22 Sep 2026Why Central Banks Are Raising Rates Again
Morgan StanleyFed (+ = hawkish)positiveNow for much of this year, we had actually thought the Fed might avoid hiking interest rates altogether.22 Sep 2026Why Central Banks Are Raising Rates Again
ApolloCreditpositiveIn our second Convergence episode on the merging of private and public credit markets, partners Brian Weinstein and John Cortese unpack how rapidly shifting conditions are reshaping where and how investors find opportunity.24 Sep 2026The Allocation
BofA / MerrillUS equitiespositiveJust 38% of S&P 500 members now stand above their 50-day moving average versus 70% a mere month ago.9 Far from worrisome, a correction in the near term in the context of a strong fundamental economic backdrop would be a potential buying opportunity in our view.21 Sep 2026Capital Market Outlook (Merrill/BofA CIO)
Wells FargoTech / AImixedWhile declining AI costs and increased model competition have raised concerns about economics, we believe lower costs are more likely to accelerate adoption than reduce demand.21 Sep 2026Global Investment Strategy (weekly)
Wells FargoTreasuries / durationnegativeLong-Term Taxable Fixed Income and, instead, prefer short-term maturities for their attractive yields and limited exposure to rising rates.21 Sep 2026Global Investment Strategy (weekly)
J.P. MorganEM & Asia equitiespositiveWhat we got wrong and what we missed: China AI basket; Chicago/Illinois default risk; outsized gains in Korea, Taiwan and Japan; the US Small Cap recovery; Asian/EM fixed income; Western critical minerals companies.1 Sep 2026Rear window
AmundiUS equitiespositiveOn equities , we confirm a diversified approach as we continue to prefer areas with more supportive valuations and less risk concentration.9 Sep 2026Global Investment Views September 2026
AmundiTech / AIpositiveIn Europe, we retain a positive stance on technology stocks, with any valuation weakness potentially offering opportunities.9 Sep 2026Global Investment Views September 2026
AmundiEM & Asia equitiespositiveIn FX , we favour higher-carry EM currencies, with BRL and TRY still offering attractive carry.9 Sep 2026Global Investment Views September 2026
AmundiJapanpositiveWe are more constructive on Japan, given reasonable valuations, robust profitability, buybacks, pro-growth policies and notable governance reforms.9 Sep 2026Global Investment Views September 2026
AmundiEuropepositiveWe maintain our long-term positive view on Europe, which looks attractive on earnings and the drive toward strategic autonomy.9 Sep 2026Global Investment Views September 2026
AmundiTreasuries / durationmixedWe continue to favour subordinated over HY, with a preference for short-dated bonds.9 Sep 2026Global Investment Views September 2026
AmundiCreditpositiveIn credit, we maintain a constructive stance on Euro IG credit, given the still-attractive relative valuations and the potential for spreads to remain stable or compress further, whilst monitoring liquidity conditions closely.9 Sep 2026Global Investment Views September 2026
AmundiUS dollarpositiveWe are constructive on EM debt, supported by a weaker US dollar, attractive real yields and improving fundamentals.9 Sep 2026Global Investment Views September 2026
AmundiGoldpositiveIn commodities , we have increased our positive stance on gold: Central bank buying is still strong, while geopolitical uncertainty, debt sustainability concerns and a softer dollar continue to underpin structural demand.9 Sep 2026Global Investment Views September 2026
AmundiFed (+ = hawkish)negativeWe confirm our more dovish outlook for the Fed, expecting it to remain on hold through year-end, and for the ECB, where we continue to expect only one further hike.9 Sep 2026Global Investment Views September 2026
BridgewaterTech / AIpositiveGlobal Outlook: Our CIOs on Modern Mercantilism, AI, and Managing Money Today January 14, 2026 Karen Karniol-Tambour, Greg Jensen, Bob Prince, Jim Haskel In an excerpt from our Q4 CIO call, Karen, Greg, and Bob describe the new investment regime—defined by AI and modern mercantilism—and share how in16 Jul 2026Portfolio Challenges
Goldman Sachs AMUS equitiespositiveFrom an Equities perspective, there is increasing emphasis on the composition of returns, with the view that further upside will need to be driven by earnings growth rather than multiple expansion.30 Jun 2026Investment Views from Our CIOs
Goldman Sachs AMTech / AIpositiveWe believe AI-driven capex is expanding opportunities across infrastructure, power, and credit, while reinforcing greater selectivity, as supply constraints differentiate winners across the value chain.30 Jun 2026Investment Views from Our CIOs
Goldman Sachs AMJapanpositiveWe believe growth in Japan could be sustained with rising wages and robust corporate profitability.30 Jun 2026Investment Views from Our CIOs
Goldman Sachs AMEuropenegativeOur Fixed Income team maintains a cautious stance on policy movements in the UK and Europe, where slowing growth and softer labor markets may limit further tightening.30 Jun 2026Investment Views from Our CIOs
Goldman Sachs AMCreditpositiveSelect opportunities remain in high yield, including data center-related debt tied to AI investment, where we are active but selective.30 Jun 2026Investment Views from Our CIOs
Goldman Sachs AMUS dollarpositiveThe Fixed Income team maintains a constructive view on the US dollar, supported by stronger relative US growth, fiscal tailwinds, and ongoing AI-driven capital flows, while holding a more tempered view on the euro and British pound given softer domestic growth dynamics and the impact of geopolitical30 Jun 2026Investment Views from Our CIOs
Goldman Sachs AMFed (+ = hawkish)negativeOur Fixed Income team has removed its easing bias and now expects rates to be on hold in 2027, in contrast to GIR’s expectation for rate cuts.30 Jun 2026Investment Views from Our CIOs
BCA Research (ours)Fed (+ = hawkish)positiveThis PPI figure could raise further, as we have seen an increase in Shanghai oil prices above Brent recently, signalling increased Chinese demand (see Chart 1). ▪ These bouts of inflationary pressure have put further pressure on The Fed, with the market now forecasting two hikes in 2026.16 Sep 2026Racing the frontier
Source: House research pages (short quotes with links)
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Latest pieces

What each house published
TitleHouseDateSeries
China up the value chainBlackRock28 Sep 2026BlackRock Investment Institute weekly
GBP Money Markets: High premium for terming outING28 Sep 2026ING Think (FX & rates)
EUR Money Markets: Tightening as intendedING28 Sep 2026ING Think (FX & rates)
US Money Markets: Value in extensions given the aggressive Fed discountING28 Sep 2026ING Think (FX & rates)
FX Daily: Data back in the driver’s seat this weekING28 Sep 2026ING Think (FX & rates)
Xi-Trump summit: Pandas and positive vibes but limited progressING28 Sep 2026ING Think (FX & rates)
Fresh cracks emerge in Hungary’s labour marketING25 Sep 2026ING Think (FX & rates)
CNB Minutes: Inflationary risks are starting to materialiseING25 Sep 2026ING Think (FX & rates)
Source: House research pages
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Themes across the Street

Most-discussed themes
ThemeMentionsHouses
AI capex & the AI trade319BlackRock, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Apollo, BofA / Merrill, Wells Fargo, J.P. Morgan, Amundi, Bridgewater, Goldman Sachs AM, Bank of America Institute, Deutsche Bank
Inflation108BlackRock, ING, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Apollo, BofA / Merrill, Wells Fargo, Amundi, Goldman Sachs AM, Bank of America Institute, Deutsche Bank, BCA Research (ours)
Oil, Iran & energy171ING, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Apollo, BofA / Merrill, Wells Fargo, J.P. Morgan, Amundi, Goldman Sachs AM, Bank of America Institute, BCA Research (ours)
Emerging markets & Asia79ING, Goldman Sachs, Apollo, BofA / Merrill, J.P. Morgan, Amundi, Bridgewater, Goldman Sachs AM, KKR, BCA Research (ours)
China48BlackRock, ING, Morgan Stanley, Apollo, Wells Fargo, J.P. Morgan, Amundi, KKR, J.P. Morgan AM, BCA Research (ours)
Term premium & fiscal85Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Apollo, BofA / Merrill, Wells Fargo, J.P. Morgan, Amundi, Goldman Sachs AM, BCA Research (ours)
Europe & ECB84ING, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, BofA / Merrill, J.P. Morgan, Amundi, Goldman Sachs AM, KKR, BCA Research (ours)
Japan & the yen74BlackRock, Morgan Stanley, BofA / Merrill, J.P. Morgan, Amundi, Goldman Sachs AM, KKR, J.P. Morgan AM, BCA Research (ours)
Source: House research pages (via the cockpit file)
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Coverage

Houses we could not read 3 rows
HouseWhy
Citadel / Citadel Securitiessite returns HTTP 403 to this machine
UBS CIOHTTP 403
PIMCOHTTP 403
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