IDEN

Lead-lag Explorer

Does one series tend to move before the other? The correlation of X's change with Y's change k periods later, for every k. A pattern in past data; it says nothing about cause.

XY
UST 10YR → USD/IDR · 490 common changes
Data ↓
-20−0.06-19−0.01-18−0.05-17−0.06-160.01-150.01-140.00-130.04-12−0.06-110.02-100.03-90.00-8−0.11-70.00-60.03-5−0.08-4−0.01-3−0.02-2−0.02-1−0.02+00.14+10.19+20.12+30.05+40.06+5−0.06+60.07+70.00+80.05+9−0.04+100.05+110.08+12−0.01+13−0.01+140.06+15−0.04+16−0.13+170.05+180.00+19−0.14+200.02

Convention: lag +k = X's change against Y's change k trading days later, so a peak at +k means X has tended to move first; a peak at −k means Y has. Largest absolute correlation (n ≥ 20): +1.

Lag-20-19-18-17-16-15-14-13-12-11-10-9-8-7-6-5-4-3-2-1+0+1+2+3+4+5+6+7+8+9+10+11+12+13+14+15+16+17+18+19+20
r−0.06−0.01−0.05−0.060.010.010.000.04−0.060.020.030.00−0.110.000.03−0.08−0.01−0.02−0.02−0.020.140.190.120.050.06−0.060.070.000.05−0.040.050.08−0.01−0.010.06−0.04−0.130.050.00−0.140.02
n470471472473474475476477478479480481482483484485486487488489490489488487486485484483482481480479478477476475474473472471470
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