US inflation vs policy
CPI YoY: +0.17 over three months, to 3.71.
Source: FRED CPIAUCSL; FRED CPILFESL; FRED DFEDTARU · As of 28 Sep 2026 · Updated 2026-09-30 09:08 UTC
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US fiscal: interest bill vs debt
Federal interest payments (USD bn saar): +28.09 over three months, to 1,247.
Source: FRED A091RC1Q027SBEA; FRED GFDEGDQ188S · As of 1 Apr 2026 · Updated 2026-09-30 09:08 UTC
US labour market
Unemployment rate: 0.00 over three months, to 4.10.
Source: FRED UNRATE; FRED SAHMREALTIME; FRED ICSA · As of 19 Sep 2026 · Updated 2026-09-30 09:08 UTC
Indonesia external buffers
FX reserves: +1.20 over three months, to 146.50.
Source: Bank Indonesia press releases; Yahoo Finance IDR=X · As of 16 Oct 2026 · Updated 2026-09-30 09:08 UTC
Indonesia money & credit
M2 growth YoY: −0.50 over three months, to 8.20%.
Source: Bank Indonesia press releases; Bank Indonesia BI-Rate table · As of 23 Sep 2026 · Updated 2026-09-30 09:08 UTC
Indonesia demand pulse
Consumer confidence (IKK): −2.40 over three months, to 118.50.
Source: Bank Indonesia press releases · As of 31 Aug 2026 · Updated 2026-09-30 09:08 UTC
Chart posted by @KobeissiLetter · 2026-09-27
CPI YoY: −0.56 over three months, to 3.71.
Recreated interpretationSource: FRED CPIAUCSL; FRED CPILFESL · As of 1 Aug 2026 · Updated 2026-09-30 09:08 UTC · Inspired by @KobeissiLetter, 2026-09-27
Chart posted by @KobeissiLetter · 2026-09-27
UMich sentiment: +6.90 over three months, to 51.70.
Recreated interpretationSource: FRED UMCSENT · As of 1 Aug 2026 · Updated 2026-09-30 09:08 UTC · Inspired by @KobeissiLetter, 2026-09-27
Chart posted by @Barchart · 2026-09-26
GDPNow (Atlanta Fed): +3.48 over three months, to 5.02.
Recreated interpretationSource: FRED GDPNOW; FRED A191RL1Q225SBEA · As of 1 Jul 2026 · Updated 2026-09-30 09:08 UTC · Inspired by @Barchart, 2026-09-26
Daily Shot · 2026-09-25
The CBI Distributive Trades balance worsened, indicating a deepening contraction in retail sales.
Retail sales YoY: −1.22 over three months, to 6.01.
Recreated interpretationSource: FRED RSAFS · As of 1 Aug 2026 · Updated 2026-09-30 09:08 UTC · Inspired by Daily Shot, 2026-09-25
Charlie Bilello · Week in Charts · 2026-09-21
“For more than five years, inflation has been running above target. The plain fact is that inflation is too high and has been for too long.”
CPI YoY: −0.56 over three months, to 3.71.
Recreated interpretationSource: FRED CPIAUCSL; FRED CPILFESL · As of 1 Aug 2026 · Updated 2026-09-30 09:08 UTC · Inspired by Charlie Bilello · Week in Charts, 2026-09-21
Charlie Bilello · Week in Charts · 2026-09-21
This is right in line with the Fed’s updated economic projections , which imply one more rate hike as well. Importantly, they increased thei…
Unemployment rate: 0.00 over three months, to 4.10.
Recreated interpretationSource: FRED UNRATE; FRED ICSA; FRED CPIAUCSL · As of 19 Sep 2026 · Updated 2026-09-30 09:08 UTC · Inspired by Charlie Bilello · Week in Charts, 2026-09-21
Charlie Bilello · Week in Charts · 2026-09-21
Absent spending cuts or new revenues, we’d have to borrow it – adding another $1.2 trillion to the national debt.
Recreated interpretationSource: FRED GFDEGDQ188S; Treasury Fiscal Data: debt to the penny · As of 24 Sep 2026 · Updated 2026-09-30 09:08 UTC · Inspired by Charlie Bilello · Week in Charts, 2026-09-21
NY Fed Liberty Street · 2026-09-18
Two line charts tracking inflation forecasts, 2020 - 2028; top chart depicts four-quarter annualized percentage change in core PCE inflation…
CPI YoY: −0.56 over three months, to 3.71.
Recreated interpretationSource: FRED CPIAUCSL; FRED CPILFESL; FRED PCEPILFE · As of 1 Aug 2026 · Updated 2026-09-30 09:08 UTC · Inspired by NY Fed Liberty Street, 2026-09-18
J.P. Morgan AM · 2026-07-02
Guide to the Markets p.18: Contributors to real GDP growth
GDPNow (Atlanta Fed): +3.48 over three months, to 5.02.
Recreated interpretationSource: FRED GDPNOW; FRED A191RL1Q225SBEA · As of 1 Jul 2026 · Updated 2026-09-30 09:08 UTC · Inspired by J.P. Morgan AM, 2026-07-02
J.P. Morgan AM · 2026-07-02
Guide to the Markets p.19: Civilian unemployment rate and annual wage growth
Unemployment rate: 0.00 over three months, to 4.10.
Recreated interpretationSource: FRED UNRATE; FRED ICSA · As of 19 Sep 2026 · Updated 2026-09-30 09:08 UTC · Inspired by J.P. Morgan AM, 2026-07-02
J.P. Morgan AM · 2026-07-02
Guide to the Markets p.21: Growth in working-age population Drivers of GDP growth
GDPNow (Atlanta Fed): +3.48 over three months, to 5.02.
Recreated interpretationSource: FRED GDPNOW; FRED A191RL1Q225SBEA · As of 1 Jul 2026 · Updated 2026-09-30 09:08 UTC · Inspired by J.P. Morgan AM, 2026-07-02
J.P. Morgan AM · 2026-07-02
Guide to the Markets p.22: Contributors to headline CPI inflation
CPI YoY: −0.56 over three months, to 3.71.
Recreated interpretationSource: FRED CPIAUCSL; FRED CPILFESL · As of 1 Aug 2026 · Updated 2026-09-30 09:08 UTC · Inspired by J.P. Morgan AM, 2026-07-02