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US inflation vs policy
CPI YoY: +0,72 dalam setahun terakhir, ke 3,71.
Real policy rate = Fed upper bound minus core inflation.
Sumber: FRED CPIAUCSL; FRED CPILFESL; FRED DFEDTARU · Per 28 Sep 2026 · Diperbarui 2026-09-30 09:08 UTC
Interpretasi hasil buat ulangSumber: FRED CPIAUCSL; FRED CPILFESL · Per 1 Agu 2026 · Diperbarui 2026-09-30 09:08 UTC · Terinspirasi dari@KobeissiLetter, 2026-09-27
GDPNow (Atlanta Fed): +1,54 dalam setahun terakhir, ke 5,02.
Interpretasi hasil buat ulangSumber: FRED GDPNOW; FRED A191RL1Q225SBEA · Per 1 Jul 2026 · Diperbarui 2026-09-30 09:08 UTC · Terinspirasi dari@Barchart, 2026-09-26
“For more than five years, inflation has been running above target. The plain fact is that inflation is too high and has been for too long.”
CPI YoY: +0,77 dalam setahun terakhir, ke 3,71.
Interpretasi hasil buat ulangSumber: FRED CPIAUCSL; FRED CPILFESL · Per 1 Agu 2026 · Diperbarui 2026-09-30 09:08 UTC · Terinspirasi dariCharlie Bilello · Week in Charts, 2026-09-21
This is right in line with the Fed’s updated economic projections , which imply one more rate hike as well. Importantly, they increased thei…
Unemployment rate: −0,40 dalam setahun terakhir, ke 4,10.
Interpretasi hasil buat ulangSumber: FRED UNRATE; FRED ICSA; FRED CPIAUCSL · Per 19 Sep 2026 · Diperbarui 2026-09-30 09:08 UTC · Terinspirasi dariCharlie Bilello · Week in Charts, 2026-09-21
Absent spending cuts or new revenues, we’d have to borrow it – adding another $1.2 trillion to the national debt.
Federal debt / GDP: +0,03 dalam setahun terakhir, ke 122,59.
Interpretasi hasil buat ulangSumber: FRED GFDEGDQ188S; Treasury Fiscal Data: debt to the penny · Per 24 Sep 2026 · Diperbarui 2026-09-30 09:08 UTC · Terinspirasi dariCharlie Bilello · Week in Charts, 2026-09-21
Two line charts tracking inflation forecasts, 2020 - 2028; top chart depicts four-quarter annualized percentage change in core PCE inflation…
CPI YoY: +0,77 dalam setahun terakhir, ke 3,71.
Interpretasi hasil buat ulangSumber: FRED CPIAUCSL; FRED CPILFESL; FRED PCEPILFE · Per 1 Agu 2026 · Diperbarui 2026-09-30 09:08 UTC · Terinspirasi dariNY Fed Liberty Street, 2026-09-18
Guide to the Markets p.18: Contributors to real GDP growth
GDPNow (Atlanta Fed): +1,54 dalam setahun terakhir, ke 5,02.
Interpretasi hasil buat ulangSumber: FRED GDPNOW; FRED A191RL1Q225SBEA · Per 1 Jul 2026 · Diperbarui 2026-09-30 09:08 UTC · Terinspirasi dariJ.P. Morgan AM, 2026-07-02
Guide to the Markets p.19: Civilian unemployment rate and annual wage growth
Unemployment rate: −0,40 dalam setahun terakhir, ke 4,10.
Interpretasi hasil buat ulangSumber: FRED UNRATE; FRED ICSA · Per 19 Sep 2026 · Diperbarui 2026-09-30 09:08 UTC · Terinspirasi dariJ.P. Morgan AM, 2026-07-02
Guide to the Markets p.21: Growth in working-age population Drivers of GDP growth
GDPNow (Atlanta Fed): +1,54 dalam setahun terakhir, ke 5,02.
Interpretasi hasil buat ulangSumber: FRED GDPNOW; FRED A191RL1Q225SBEA · Per 1 Jul 2026 · Diperbarui 2026-09-30 09:08 UTC · Terinspirasi dariJ.P. Morgan AM, 2026-07-02
Guide to the Markets p.22: Contributors to headline CPI inflation
CPI YoY: +0,77 dalam setahun terakhir, ke 3,71.
Interpretasi hasil buat ulangSumber: FRED CPIAUCSL; FRED CPILFESL · Per 1 Agu 2026 · Diperbarui 2026-09-30 09:08 UTC · Terinspirasi dariJ.P. Morgan AM, 2026-07-02