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Semis vs Nasdaq 100
PHLX Semiconductor (SOX): +73.8% over the past year, to 11,684.
100.0 150.0 200.0 2.00% 2.50% 3.00% inverted PHLX Semiconducto… 173.8 Nasdaq 100 121.0 10YR real yield (… 2.88% Oct 25 Jan 26 Apr 26 Jul 26 Oct 26
Leadership of chips over broad tech, against the real-yield backdrop.
Source: Yahoo Finance ^SOX; Yahoo Finance ^NDX; FRED DFII10 · As of 14 Oct 2026 · Updated 2026-09-30 09:08 UTC
Hyperscalers vs capex
Hyperscalers (equal-weight basket): −2.3% over the past year, to 215.54.
80.0 90.0 100.0 125.0 150.0 175.0 Hyperscaler capex… 181.5 Hyperscalers (equ… 97.7 Oct 25 Jan 26 Apr 26 Jul 26
Does the market still reward capex, or punish it (free-cash-flow squeeze)?
Source: Computed: equal-weight daily returns of 5 names; SEC EDGAR 10-Q/10-K XBRL · As of 28 Sep 2026 · Updated 2026-09-30 09:08 UTC
Memory cycle vs KOSPI
Semis: memory (equal-weight basket): +719.0% over the past year, to 2,608.
250 500 750 1,000 1,400 1,500 inverted USD/KRW 1,342 Semis: memory (eq… 819 KOSPI 156 Oct 25 Jan 26 Apr 26 Jul 26 Oct 26
Hynix/Samsung drive KOSPI; a weak won amplifies foreign flows.
Source: Computed: equal-weight daily returns of 4 names; Yahoo Finance ^KS11; Yahoo Finance KRW=X · As of 15 Oct 2026 · Updated 2026-09-30 09:08 UTC
TSMC vs TAIEX vs TWD
TSMC (Taipei) (2330.TW): +73.7% over the past year, to 2,475.
100.0 150.0 31.00 32.00 inverted TAIEX 175.3 TSMC (Taipei) (23… 173.7 USD/TWD 31.76 Oct 25 Jan 26 Apr 26 Jul 26 Oct 26
TSMC is roughly 40% of TAIEX; TWD strength confirms foreign buying.
Source: Yahoo Finance 2330.TW; Yahoo Finance ^TWII; Yahoo Finance TWD=X · As of 15 Oct 2026 · Updated 2026-09-30 09:08 UTC
Software vs semis vs cyber
Cloud & software (equal-weight basket): −2.1% over the past year, to 145.80.
100.0 200.0 Semis: AI compute… 219.0 Cybersecurity (eq… 149.4 Cloud & software … 97.9 Oct 25 Jan 26 Apr 26 Jul 26
AI-winner (chips) vs AI-disrupted (seat-based software) rotation.
Source: Computed: equal-weight daily returns of 10 names; Computed: equal-weight daily returns of 7 names; Computed: equal-weight daily returns of 8 names · As of 28 Sep 2026 · Updated 2026-09-30 09:08 UTC
AI power trade vs utilities
AI infrastructure: network, servers, power (equal-weight basket): +44.1% over the past year, to 1,072.
100.0 125.0 150.0 4.00% 4.50% 5.00% UST 10YR 5.21% AI infrastructure… 144.1 Utilities (XLU) 86.3 Oct 25 Jan 26 Apr 26 Jul 26 Oct 26
Power and grid names are priced as growth; yields are their main enemy.
Source: Computed: equal-weight daily returns of 14 names; Yahoo Finance XLU; FRED DGS10 · As of 13 Oct 2026 · Updated 2026-09-30 09:08 UTC
China tech vs Nasdaq
China tech (equal-weight basket): −22.7% over the past year, to 114.80.
80.0 100.0 120.0 6.800 7.000 7.200 inverted USD/CNY 6.680 Nasdaq 100 121.9 China tech (equal… 77.3 Oct 25 Jan 26 Apr 26 Jul 26 Oct 26
Relative value of China internet vs US tech, with the yuan as the policy gauge.
Source: Computed: equal-weight daily returns of 8 names; Yahoo Finance ^NDX; Yahoo Finance CNY=X · As of 15 Oct 2026 · Updated 2026-09-30 09:08 UTC
Indonesia digital vs JCI
Indonesia digital, telco & data centres (equal-weight basket): −22.7% over the past year, to 90.47.
80.0 100.0 6.00% 6.50% 7.00% 7.50% inverted Indonesia digital… 77.3 INDOGB 10YR 7.20% JCI (IHSG) 72.7 Oct 25 Jan 26 Apr 26 Jul 26 Oct 26
Long-duration local growth names vs the index, against INDOGB yields.
Source: Computed: equal-weight daily returns of 10 names; Yahoo Finance ^JKSE; CNBC ID10Y-ID · As of 15 Oct 2026 · Updated 2026-09-30 09:08 UTC
J.P. Morgan AM · 2026-07-02
Guide to the Markets p.24: Capex from the major AI hyperscalers* Hyperscalers' cash flow and capex
Hyperscalers (equal-weight basket): −2.3% over the past year, to 215.54.
180.0 200.0 220.0 Hyperscalers (equ… 215.5 125.0 150.0 175.0 Hyperscaler capex… 181.5 Oct 25 Jan 26 Apr 26 Jul 26
Recreated interpretation Source: Computed: equal-weight daily returns of 5 names; SEC EDGAR 10-Q/10-K XBRL ·
As of 28 Sep 2026 ·
Updated 2026-09-30 09:08 UTC ·
Inspired by J.P. Morgan AM , 2026-07-02