| ORCL capex (quarterly) |
Fundamentals | +12,01 | +5,3σ |
100 | 2026-08-31 |
| META capex (quarterly) |
Fundamentals | +11,12 | +4,6σ |
100 | 2026-06-30 |
| SRBI 9M bid-to-cover |
Rates | +28,71 | +4,5σ |
100 | 2026-09-25 |
| Real effective exchange rate (KR) |
FX | +5,20% | +4,4σ |
34 | 2026-08-31 |
| SRBI 9M incoming bids |
Rates | +4,31 | +4,2σ |
100 | 2026-09-25 |
| GOOGL capex (quarterly) |
Fundamentals | +9,25 | +3,9σ |
100 | 2026-06-30 |
| Nvidia revenue (quarterly) |
Fundamentals | +14,61 | +3,9σ |
100 | 2026-07-26 |
| Hyperscaler capex (5 cos, quarterly) |
Fundamentals | +33,16 | +3,7σ |
100 | 2026-06-30 |
| AMZN capex (quarterly) |
Fundamentals | +10,00 | +3,1σ |
100 | 2026-06-30 |
| UST 10YR futures: dealers net |
Flows & positioning | +138.734,00 | +3,0σ |
9 | 2026-09-22 |
| NVDA capex (quarterly) |
Fundamentals | +0,92 | +2,9σ |
100 | 2026-07-26 |
| Copper: speculators (non-commercial) net |
Flows & positioning | +15.388,00 | +2,2σ |
97 | 2026-09-22 |
| Euro FX: asset managers net |
Flows & positioning | −35.215,00 | −2,1σ |
3 | 2026-09-22 |
| SRBI 6M incoming bids |
Rates | +6,58 | +2,0σ |
79 | 2026-09-25 |
| MSFT capex (quarterly) |
Fundamentals | +4,93 | +1,8σ |
100 | 2026-06-30 |
| E-mini Nasdaq-100: leveraged funds net |
Flows & positioning | −24.296,00 | −1,8σ |
69 | 2026-09-22 |
| SUN auction bid-to-cover |
Rates | −0,55 | −1,6σ |
75 | 2026-09-01 |
| E-mini S&P 500: leveraged funds net |
Flows & positioning | −82.431,00 | −1,5σ |
49 | 2026-09-22 |
| Treasury General Account (USD bn) |
Liquidity | +100,06 | +1,5σ |
94 | 2026-09-23 |
| Bitcoin (CME): leveraged funds net |
Flows & positioning | −1.599,00 | −1,5σ |
57 | 2026-09-22 |
| Euro FX: dealers net |
Flows & positioning | +37.128,00 | +1,4σ |
89 | 2026-09-22 |
| Japanese yen: dealers net |
Flows & positioning | +60.286,00 | +1,4σ |
3 | 2026-09-22 |
| UST bond futures: leveraged funds net |
Flows & positioning | +49.683,00 | +1,4σ |
100 | 2026-09-22 |
| Fed net liquidity (balance sheet - TGA - RRP) |
Liquidity | −93,98 | −1,4σ |
26 | 2026-09-23 |
| UST 5YR futures: leveraged funds net |
Flows & positioning | +128.870,00 | +1,4σ |
100 | 2026-09-22 |
| E-mini S&P 500: dealers net |
Flows & positioning | +68.735,00 | +1,4σ |
94 | 2026-09-22 |
| UST 5YR futures: dealers net |
Flows & positioning | −77.974,00 | −1,3σ |
0 | 2026-09-22 |
| SRBI 12M incoming bids |
Rates | +22,71 | +1,3σ |
94 | 2026-09-25 |
| US federal deficit, rolling 12M |
Macro | +177,99 | +1,3σ |
54 | 2026-08-01 |
| E-mini Nasdaq-100: dealers net |
Flows & positioning | +20.825,00 | +1,3σ |
34 | 2026-09-22 |
| Real effective exchange rate (US) |
FX | −1,40% | −1,2σ |
9 | 2026-08-31 |
| SUN auction incoming bids |
Rates | −18,79 | −1,2σ |
58 | 2026-09-01 |
| SRBI 12M awarded yield (w.avg) |
Rates | −18 bp | −1,2σ |
40 | 2026-09-25 |
| SRBI 6M bid-to-cover |
Rates | −14,47 | −1,2σ |
88 | 2026-09-25 |
| Bank reserves (USD bn) |
Liquidity | −83,60 | −1,2σ |
17 | 2026-09-23 |
| UST bond futures: asset managers net |
Flows & positioning | −47.046,00 | −1,2σ |
14 | 2026-09-22 |
| GDPNow (Atlanta Fed) |
Macro | +3,48 | +1,2σ |
89 | 2026-07-01 |
| Average interest rate on marketable US debt |
Macro | +0,03% | +1,2σ |
100 | 2026-08-31 |
| US 30Y mortgage rate |
Rates | +8 bp | +1,1σ |
100 | 2026-09-24 |
| Federal interest payments (USD bn saar) |
Macro | +28,09 | +1,1σ |
100 | 2026-04-01 |
| SRBI 6M awarded yield (w.avg) |
Rates | −15 bp | −1,1σ |
43 | 2026-09-25 |
| Real effective exchange rate (BR) |
FX | −2,04% | −1,1σ |
63 | 2026-08-31 |
| Payrolls MoM ('000) |
Macro | +141,00 | +1,1σ |
86 | 2026-08-01 |
| Trade balance (USD mn) |
Macro | −17.394,00 | −1,0σ |
11 | 2026-07-01 |
| UST 10YR futures: asset managers net |
Flows & positioning | −103.600,00 | −1,0σ |
74 | 2026-09-22 |
| Real effective exchange rate (CN) |
FX | −0,97% | −1,0σ |
46 | 2026-08-31 |
| E-mini S&P 500: asset managers net |
Flows & positioning | +29.771,00 | +1,0σ |
34 | 2026-09-22 |
| Real effective exchange rate (PH) |
FX | −0,85% | −0,9σ |
0 | 2026-08-31 |
| SRBI 9M awarded yield (w.avg) |
Rates | −11 bp | −0,8σ |
43 | 2026-09-25 |
| UMich sentiment |
Macro | −3,50 | −0,8σ |
11 | 2026-08-01 |
| Real effective exchange rate (TW) |
FX | −1,20% | −0,8σ |
3 | 2026-08-31 |
| Bitcoin (CME): asset managers net |
Flows & positioning | +411,00 | +0,8σ |
40 | 2026-09-22 |
| Real effective exchange rate (MY) |
FX | −0,91% | −0,8σ |
77 | 2026-08-31 |
| UST 10YR futures: leveraged funds net |
Flows & positioning | −58.820,00 | −0,8σ |
89 | 2026-09-22 |
| E-mini Nasdaq-100: asset managers net |
Flows & positioning | +5.409,00 | +0,8σ |
46 | 2026-09-22 |
| UST 5YR futures: asset managers net |
Flows & positioning | −71.510,00 | −0,7σ |
9 | 2026-09-22 |
| Japanese yen: leveraged funds net |
Flows & positioning | −15.747,00 | −0,7σ |
97 | 2026-09-22 |
| Japanese yen: asset managers net |
Flows & positioning | −12.216,00 | −0,7σ |
97 | 2026-09-22 |
| Retail sales YoY |
Macro | +0,98 | +0,7σ |
94 | 2026-08-01 |
| CRWV capex (quarterly) |
Fundamentals | −1,27 | −0,7σ |
89 | 2026-06-30 |