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Grafik diunggah oleh @Barchart · 2026-09-25
UST 30YR: +81 bp dalam setahun terakhir, ke 5,43%.
Interpretasi hasil buat ulangSumber: FRED DGS30; FRED DGS10 · Per 15 Okt 2026 · Diperbarui 2026-09-30 09:08 UTC · Terinspirasi dari@Barchart, 2026-09-25
The Fed Funds Rate was lifted to a new range of 3.75-4.00%, the first hike since 2023. And judging by the reaction from the bond market, the…
UST 2YR: +129 bp dalam setahun terakhir, ke 4,77%.
Interpretasi hasil buat ulangSumber: FRED DGS2; FRED DFEDTARU · Per 15 Okt 2026 · Diperbarui 2026-09-30 09:08 UTC · Terinspirasi dariCharlie Bilello · Week in Charts, 2026-09-21
The market is now pricing in at least one more 0.25% rate hike by year end, which would bring the Fed Funds Rate up to 4.00-4.25%.
Fed funds upper bound: −25 bp dalam setahun terakhir, ke 4,00%.
Interpretasi hasil buat ulangSumber: FRED DFEDTARU; FRED DGS2 · Per 15 Okt 2026 · Diperbarui 2026-09-30 09:08 UTC · Terinspirasi dariCharlie Bilello · Week in Charts, 2026-09-21
Since 1982, stocks have actually performed better following rate HIKES than rate CUTS.
Fed funds upper bound: −25 bp dalam setahun terakhir, ke 4,00%.
Interpretasi hasil buat ulangSumber: FRED DFEDTARU; FRED DGS2 · Per 15 Okt 2026 · Diperbarui 2026-09-30 09:08 UTC · Terinspirasi dariCharlie Bilello · Week in Charts, 2026-09-21
Recently, that direction has been up. The 10-year Treasury yield moved above 5% last week, closing at its highest level since July 2007.
UST 10YR: +107 bp dalam setahun terakhir, ke 5,10%.
Interpretasi hasil buat ulangSumber: FRED DGS10 · Per 15 Okt 2026 · Diperbarui 2026-09-30 09:08 UTC · Terinspirasi dariCharlie Bilello · Week in Charts, 2026-09-21
While it’s been a challenging year in the bond market thus far, long-term bond investors should take solace in the following chart. It illus…
UST 10YR: +107 bp dalam setahun terakhir, ke 5,10%.
Interpretasi hasil buat ulangSumber: FRED DGS10 · Per 15 Okt 2026 · Diperbarui 2026-09-30 09:08 UTC · Terinspirasi dariCharlie Bilello · Week in Charts, 2026-09-21
Lastly, credit sensitive instruments have yet to show any sign of higher default risk due to the shift back to a tightening cycle. Credit sp…
US HY OAS: +12 bp dalam setahun terakhir, ke 3,23%.
Interpretasi hasil buat ulangSumber: FRED BAMLH0A0HYM2; FRED BAMLC0A0CM · Per 15 Okt 2026 · Diperbarui 2026-09-30 09:08 UTC · Terinspirasi dariCharlie Bilello · Week in Charts, 2026-09-21
The 30-year mortgage rate in the US of close to 7% is at its highest level since January 2025 and more than double the artificially low rate…
US 30Y mortgage rate: +73 bp dalam setahun terakhir, ke 7,03%.
Interpretasi hasil buat ulangSumber: FRED MORTGAGE30US; Computed from FRED WALCL, WTREGEN, RRPONTSYD · Per 24 Sep 2026 · Diperbarui 2026-09-30 09:08 UTC · Terinspirasi dariCharlie Bilello · Week in Charts, 2026-09-21
Guide to the Markets p.35: U.S. Treasury yield curve
UST 10YR: +107 bp dalam setahun terakhir, ke 5,10%.
Interpretasi hasil buat ulangSumber: FRED DGS10; FRED T10Y2Y · Per 15 Okt 2026 · Diperbarui 2026-09-30 09:08 UTC · Terinspirasi dariJ.P. Morgan AM, 2026-07-02
Guide to the Markets p.38: Corporate credit spreads Credit rating and default rates in U.S. high yield
US HY OAS: +12 bp dalam setahun terakhir, ke 3,23%.
Interpretasi hasil buat ulangSumber: FRED BAMLH0A0HYM2 · Per 15 Okt 2026 · Diperbarui 2026-09-30 09:08 UTC · Terinspirasi dariJ.P. Morgan AM, 2026-07-02
Guide to the Markets p.39: Muni tax-equivalent and Treasury yield curves State and local, federal and corporate debt
UST 10YR: +107 bp dalam setahun terakhir, ke 5,10%.
Interpretasi hasil buat ulangSumber: FRED DGS10; FRED T10Y2Y · Per 15 Okt 2026 · Diperbarui 2026-09-30 09:08 UTC · Terinspirasi dariJ.P. Morgan AM, 2026-07-02
Guide to the Markets p.42: Expected change in policy rates
Fed funds upper bound: −25 bp dalam setahun terakhir, ke 4,00%.
Interpretasi hasil buat ulangSumber: FRED DFEDTARU; FRED DGS2 · Per 15 Okt 2026 · Diperbarui 2026-09-30 09:08 UTC · Terinspirasi dariJ.P. Morgan AM, 2026-07-02
Guide to the Markets p.51: Historical and expected policy rates Government fixed investment
Fed funds upper bound: −25 bp dalam setahun terakhir, ke 4,00%.
Interpretasi hasil buat ulangSumber: FRED DFEDTARU; FRED DGS2 · Per 15 Okt 2026 · Diperbarui 2026-09-30 09:08 UTC · Terinspirasi dariJ.P. Morgan AM, 2026-07-02
Guide to the Markets p.64: 60/40 annual return decomposition S&P 500 / U.S. 10-year Treasury correlation
UST 10YR: +105 bp dalam setahun terakhir, ke 5,10%.
Interpretasi hasil buat ulangSumber: FRED DGS10; Yahoo Finance ^GSPC · Per 16 Okt 2026 · Diperbarui 2026-09-30 09:08 UTC · Terinspirasi dariJ.P. Morgan AM, 2026-07-02
US 30Y mortgage rate: +73 bp dalam setahun terakhir, ke 7,03%.
Interpretasi hasil buat ulangSumber: FRED MORTGAGE30US; Computed from FRED WALCL, WTREGEN, RRPONTSYD · Per 24 Sep 2026 · Diperbarui 2026-09-30 09:08 UTC · Terinspirasi dari@HedgieMarkets, 2025-11-06